- Find the auditor's opinion in the audited financial statements, usually near the front of a 10-K or annual report.
- Going concern language signals material uncertainty about a company’s ability to meet obligations, most often due to liquidity stress.
- After you see going concern language, check cash runway, debt maturities, covenant risk, and management plans for funding.
- Not every going concern note means bankruptcy is imminent, but it is a major red flag that needs fast, practical follow up.
- Use simple calculations like cash burn and near-term obligations to turn the auditor language into a concrete assessment.
Introduction
Going concern language is an auditor's way of flagging that a company may not be able to continue operating over the next year. If you invest in public companies, you'll want to know what that phrase really means and how to respond.
Why does this matter to you as an investor? Because the auditor's wording signals heightened risk. You will learn where to find the opinion, how to read the common phrases, and a short, practical checklist you can run immediately to assess the seriousness of the problem. What should you check first, and what numbers give you a clear picture?
Where to Find the Auditor's Opinion
The auditor's opinion is part of a company's annual report, typically the Form 10-K for U.S. public companies. Look for a section called "Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm" or simply "Auditor's Report."
That report usually appears near the front of the annual report, just after the financial statements or the management discussion. You can also find it in the company's filings on the SEC website or in the investor relations section of the company website.
What to read first
Scan the auditor's opinion paragraph by paragraph. The first paragraphs explain the scope of the audit. The paragraph you want is often labeled "Opinion" or "Material Uncertainty Related to Going Concern."
If the auditor includes going concern language, it will mention "substantial doubt" or "material uncertainty" about the company's ability to continue as a going concern for 12 months after the reporting date. That phrasing is the key trigger phrase you should know.
What "Going Concern" Language Generally Signals
When auditors use going concern language they are communicating material uncertainty about a company's future. Most often the underlying issue is liquidity stress, meaning the firm may run out of cash to meet obligations when they come due.
Going concern language does not automatically mean bankruptcy. It does mean management and auditors could not conclude that the company will be able to meet its obligations for the next 12 months without significant doubt. That increases the probability of adverse events like asset sales, distressed financings, or restructuring.
Common auditor phrases and what they imply
Auditors may say things like substantial doubt, material uncertainty, or emphasis of matter. Substantial doubt signals a higher level of concern. Material uncertainty means the auditor thinks the company disclosed important risks but could not eliminate doubt through audit evidence.
Pay attention to whether the auditor cites management's plans to mitigate the problem. If the auditor says management's plans are "unverifiable" or "insufficient" that is a stronger red flag. If the auditor accepts documented funding plans, the risk is lower but still present.
What to Check Next: A Practical Checklist
Once you see going concern language, run a short checklist to turn words into numbers. That gives you a practical view of what the company faces over the next year. You should be able to do this with information from the 10-K, recent quarterly reports, and any current press releases.
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Cash runway
Calculate cash runway by dividing available cash and short-term investments by expected monthly cash burn. Cash burn is operating loss plus capital expenditures and debt service outflows, adjusted for noncash items like depreciation.
Example calculation, simplified: a company with $40 million in cash and monthly burn of $5 million has an eight month runway. If the auditor flags going concern and runway is under 12 months, the risk is immediate.
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Debt maturities
List debt due in the next 12 months and compare it to cash and committed credit lines. Debt that is callable on default or that matures soon increases pressure if refinancing markets are tight.
Check the footnotes in the financial statements for the exact maturity schedule. If large principal payments are due within a year, the company may need to refinance or sell assets quickly.
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Covenant risk
Examine loan covenants for ratios like interest coverage or leverage. If the company is close to breaching covenants it may face lender remedies such as higher interest rates, accelerated repayment, or default.
Look for covenant waivers or amendments in subsequent filings. Management may obtain temporary relief, but waivers often come with higher costs or more restrictive terms.
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Management plans and credibility
Review management's disclosed plans to mitigate the shortfall, such as cost cuts, asset sales, new financing, or equity raises. Assess whether these plans are realistic and supported by facts.
Ask whether management has a track record of delivering on similar plans. If plans rely on uncertain market transactions or unsourced financing, treat them as weak solutions.
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Market access and investor sentiment
Consider the company's ability to raise capital in current markets. If comparable companies have raised money recently, the firm may have a path to funding. If markets are frozen, refinancing becomes harder.
Also watch trading liquidity and short interest. Extreme price drops or heavy shorting are signs that the broader market recognizes distress sooner than filings do.
Interpreting Severity and Possible Outcomes
After you run the checklist you will have a clearer picture. If runway is short, debt comes due soon, and management plans are weak, the odds of restructuring or bankruptcy are much higher. If runway exceeds 12 months and credible financing plans exist, the issue may be manageable.
Common outcomes when going concern language appears include emergency financing, asset sales, covenant amendments, equity dilution, or formal restructuring. Each outcome affects shareholders differently, with bankruptcy often wiping out common equity.
A practical example with numbers
Imagine a mid-size retailer with $30 million cash and monthly cash burn of $8 million. Cash runway is less than four months. The company has $50 million in debt maturing in nine months and a revolving credit facility that requires a covenant tied to EBITDA.
Here the auditor flags going concern because near-term debt and poor cash runway create substantial doubt. Reasonable next steps are to check whether management has signed a commitment for financing or intends to sell stores to raise cash. Without credible plans the risk of bankruptcy climbs quickly.
Real-World Examples to Ground the Concept
Chesapeake Energy, ticker $CHK, is a clear example of how liquidity stress can lead to bankruptcy. Before filing, the company faced large debt maturities and falling oil prices which tightened its cash runway. Investors who ignored maturity schedules were surprised by the outcome.
Contrast that with a healthy tech firm like $NVDA which rarely has going concern language because it maintains large cash balances and access to low-cost financing. Seeing the auditor's opinion in both companies shows how liquidity and financing access drive the language.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Ignoring the auditor's exact wording. Mistake: treating any mention of uncertainty as the same. How to avoid: read whether the auditor cites "substantial doubt" or simply emphasizes a matter and note management's plans.
- Relying only on historic income statement items. Mistake: focusing on past losses without checking balance sheet timing. How to avoid: prioritize cash, debt maturities, and covenants when evaluating going concern risk.
- Assuming a going concern note equals immediate bankruptcy. Mistake: panic selling without analysis. How to avoid: follow the checklist and look for credible financing plans or covenant waivers that could keep the business afloat.
- Overlooking subsequent events. Mistake: stopping at the annual report and missing later disclosures. How to avoid: check recent 8-Ks, quarterly reports, and press releases for new financing or covenants changes.
- Not comparing industry context. Mistake: treating a company in a distressed sector the same as one in a strong sector. How to avoid: compare peers for access to capital and market conditions before drawing conclusions.
FAQ
Q: How rare is a going concern opinion for public companies?
A: It is relatively uncommon. Only a small percentage of audited public companies receive explicit going concern language in any given year, typically low single digits. However, the frequency rises in stressed industries or during market turmoil.
Q: If an auditor flags going concern, should I sell my shares immediately?
A: Not necessarily. Going concern language is a serious red flag but it does not mandate an immediate sale. You should run the checklist on cash runway, debt maturities, covenants, and management plans to decide how urgent the risk is.
Q: Can management override an auditor's going concern note?
A: No. The auditor's opinion is independent. Management can present plans to mitigate the issue, but if the auditor believes there is substantial doubt despite those plans, they will include the going concern language in the report.
Q: Where in the filings will I find updates after the annual report?
A: Look for 8-K current reports, quarterly 10-Q updates, and press releases. Companies must disclose material changes, new financing, or covenant waivers in these filings. Those updates often resolve or worsen going concern issues.
Bottom Line
Going concern language in an auditor's report is a clear signal of elevated risk, most commonly from liquidity stress. It tells you there is material uncertainty about the company's ability to operate for the next year without additional financing or major changes.
When you encounter that language you should act methodically. Check cash runway, map debt maturities, review covenants, and evaluate management's mitigation plans. At the end of the day, turning the auditor's words into numbers gives you a concrete basis to make better decisions about your investments.



